Deutsche Bank-Thematic Research July 2024 Global Markets Survey Results-109354195

July2024JimReidHeadofGlobalEconomicsandThematicResearch(+44)-20-7547-2943jim.reid@db.comCassidyAinsworth-Grace(+44)-20-7541-8990cassidy.ainsworth-grace@db.comWithspecialthankstoAnthonyChaimowitzofthedbDIGteamIMPORTANTRESEARCHDISCLOSURESANDANALYSTCERTIFICATIONSLOCATEDINAPPENDIX1.MCI(P)041/10/2023.UNTIL19thMARCH2021INCOMPLETEDISCLOSUREINFORMATIONMAYHAVEBEENDISPLAYED,PLEASESEEAPPENDIX1FORFURTHERDETAILS.July2024GlobalMarketsSurveyDeutscheBankResearchDistributedon:22/07/202411:26:18GMT7T2se3r0Ot6kwoPaDistributedon:22/07/202411:26:18GMT7T2se3r0Ot6kwoPaResearchDeutscheBankJimReid|(+44)2075472943|jim.reid@db.com1the17thand22ndofJuly.OurJuly2024globalfinancialmarketsurveyhadnearly260responsesfromaroundtheworld,conductedbetweenResearchDeutscheBankJimReid|(+44)2075472943|jim.reid@db.comTheweightedaverageofrespondentswhoseeitaslikelythatTrumpwillbePresidentforasecondtimejumpedagain,from63%inMarchto73%inJuly.InJunelastyearitwas‘only’36%.Morethanhalf(52%)nowseethelikelihoodtobeover70%,upfromathirdinMarch.ThevastmajorityofthepollingtookplacebeforeBidenpulledoutoftherace.Asapercentage,whatdoyouthinkisthelikelihoodofDonaldTrumpbeingtheUSPresidentafterthe2024USelection?Source:dbDIGSurvey,DeutscheBank.20%5%10%15%20%25%30%0-10%10-20%20-30%30-40%40-50%50-60%60-70%70-80%80-90%90-100%Apr-22Jun-23Oct-23Dec-23Mar-24Jul-24Averages:A...