PublicDisclosureAuthorizedPolicyResearchWorkingPaper10758PublicDisclosureAuthorizedComparativeAnalysisofAI-PredictedandCrowdsourcedFoodPricesPublicDisclosureAuthorizedinanEconomicallyVolatileRegionJuliusAdewopoBoPieterJohannesAndréeHelenPeterGloriaSolano-HermosillaFabioMicalePublicDisclosureAuthorizedDevelopmentDataGroup&AgricultureandFoodGlobalPracticeApril2024PolicyResearchWorkingPaper10758Abstractrelatetoindependentgroundtruthdata.Toevaluateifthesedatastrategiescanmeetthelong-standingdemandforreal-High-frequencymonitoringoffoodcommoditypricesistimeintelligenceonfoodaffordability,thispaperanalyzesimportantforassessingandrespondingtoshocks,especiallyopen-sourcedailycrowdsourceddata(104,931datapoints)infragilecontextswheretimelyandtargetedinterventionsfromarecentlypublisheddatasetinNatureJournal,rel-forfoodsecurityarecritical.However,nationalpricesurveysativetocomplementarygroundtruthsample.Thepaperaretypicallylimitedintemporalandspatialgranularity.Itissubsequentlycomparesthesedatatoopen-sourcemonthlycostprohibitivetoimplementtraditionaldatacollectionatartificialintelligence–generatedpricedataforidenticalfrequenttimescalestounravelspatiotemporalpriceevolu-commoditiesovera36-monthperiodinnorthernNige-tionacrossmarketsegmentsandatsubnationalgeographicria,from2019to2022.Theresultsshowthatallthedatalevels.Recen...
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