国际政治研究所-2024年的世界：全球大分化（英）-2024-65页

TheWorldin2024TheGreatFragmentationITALIANINSTITUTETheWorldin2024FORINTERNATIONALTheGreatFragmentationPOLITICALSTUDIES©2024ISPIViaClerici5–20121Milan–Italywww.ispionline.itTheWorldin2024:TheGreatFragmentationFirstedition:December2023CoverimagebyFrancescoFadaniTheopinionsexpressedinthispublicationdonotnecessarilyreflectISPI’sposition.ITALIANINSTITUTETheWorldin2024FORINTERNATIONALTheGreatFragmentationPOLITICALSTUDIESGeopoliticsWarsThatBreakUsApart•Russia-UkraineAndreiKolesnikov(CEIPandISPI)7•Israel-GazaKarimMezran(AtlanticCouncilandISPI)10GlobalSouth:The“Rest”vstheWest?GustavoDeCarvalho(SAIIA)13NoWorldforSuperowersSusanA.Thornton(YaleUniversity)16TrustFailing,ArmRacingNanTian(SIPRI)19ShatteredWest•USA2024:IfTrumpIsBackMarioDelPero(SciencesPoandISPI)22•EuropeIsBack(ToSquareOne)AntonioVillafranca(ISPI)25GeoeconomicsGolbalWorld:ChokingEnginesAliciaGarcíaHerrero(BruegelandISPI)30BrokenValueChainsEmilyBenson(CSIS)32ITALIANINSTITUTETheWorldin2024FORINTERNATIONALtheGreatFragmentationPOLITICALSTUDIESEurope:TheSpectreofDe-industrializationNicolasKöhler-Suzuki(JacquesDelorsInstitute)35DealingwiththeGreenBacklashDaveJones(Ember)38DivideetAImpera:FakeNewsChangeGearsRohintonP.Medhora(CIGIandMcGillUniversity)41ToWatch2024•Countrytowatch•Egypt,MarinaOttaway(WoodrowWilsonCenter)45•Electiontowatch•India,PratapBh...