ConsumerPackagedGoodsPracticeWheretoplayinCPG:Amulti-lensapproachtobeatthemarketMachinelearningcanhelpLatinAmericanconsumerpackagedgoodsplayersbetterunderstandconsumers,categories,competitors,andcapabilities—andincreasetheoddsofoutperformanceyearafteryear.byAnneGrimmelt,DiegoMartindelCampo,RicardoSanroman,andCarlosZuzunagaDecember2023Giventoday’schallengingeconomicenvironmentTheseinsightscanbefurtherexploredusingAIinLatinAmerica—includinginflation,shrinkingtoolsandtechniques—manyofwhicharepoweredmargins,loweconomicgrowthforecasts,andabymachinelearning(ML)3—atamoregranularreducedwillingnesstospend—manycompaniesareleveltogenerateforward-looking,actionabletemptedtodeprioritizegrowth.However,arecentnextsteps.ThisarticleshowshowpredictivetoolsMcKinseyarticleshowedthatgrowthisevenmorecanbeusedtodevelopa“growthroadmap”thatimportantintimesofeconomicuncertainty,andincludesestimatesofthefinancialupsideandthethecompaniesthatgrowduringdownturnsoftencapabilitiesneeded.Italsoprovidesexamplesoutperformtheirpeerswhentheeconomyrecovers.1ofusecasesinLatinAmerica,manyofwhichsignificantlyincreasedTSR.Ofcourse,growthisneverguaranteed.Sothequestionremains:howcancompaniesincreaseGrowthmatters—bothduringandtheiroddsofoutperformingintoday’smarket?afteradownturnMcKinseyresearchshowsthatconsumergoodscompaniesthatuseacombinati...
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