GlobalBanksCountry-By-CountryOutlook2024ForewarnedIsForearmedNovember16,2023ThisreportdoesnotconstitutearatingactionPrimarycontactsGavinGunningMelbourne+61-3-9631-2092gavin.gunning@spglobal.comEmmanuelVollandParis+33-14-420-6696emmanuel.volland@spglobal.comAlexandreBirryLondon+44-20-7176-7108alexandre.birry@spglobal.comSecondarycontactsBrendanBrowneNewYork+1-212-438-7399brendan.browne@spglobal.comCynthiaCohenFreueBuenosAires+54-11-4891-2161cynthia.cohenfreue@spglobal.comElenaIparraguirreMadrid+34-91-389-6963elena.iparraguirre@spglobal.comOsmanSattarLondon+44-20-7176-7198osman.sattar@spglobal.comMohamedDamakDubai+9-714-372-7153mohamed.damak@spglobal.comContactscontinuedonpage106GlobalBanksCountry-By-CountryOutlook2024ForewarnedIsForearmedKeytakeaways•Ouroutlookforglobalbanksremainssteady.AsofOct.31,2023,79%ofbankratingoutlookswerestable.Thisresilienceislargelyduetosolidcapitalization,improvedprofitability,andstillsoundassetquality.•Theweakeconomicoutlookfor2024willtestbanks'businessvolumes,assetquality,andfinancingconditions.Positively,mostbanks'earningswillcontinuetobenefitfromhighinterestrates.•Keyriskscouldintensify.Althoughnotourbasecase,amarkeddeteriorationofeconomicconditionsinEurope,theU.S.,andChinaispossible,whileinflationremainshigh.TheRussia-UkraineandIsrael-Hamaswarsbringspilloverrisks.•Commerci...
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