JPMORGANAsiaPacificEquityResearch01January2024MacauGamingMacaufinishes2023strong•2023closedstrongly,with80%+recoveryinDecemberGGR.DecemberHeadofAsiaGaming/LeisureandChinaSoftware/SaaSResearchgrossgamingrevenue(GGR)wasup16%m/m(or+433%y/y)toMOP18.6B,handsomelybeatingtheconsensusofMOP17-17.5BandprintinganDSKimACimpressivedailyrun-rateofMOP599m(vs.MOP531min3Q)that’salmostcomparabletoOctober’sMOP629m.Thisalsomarkedthefirsttimesincere-(852)2800-8597openingthattherecoveryratehitover80%(81%tobeexact)vs70-75%ds.kim@jpmorgan.comrecoveryinrecentmonths,albeitaidedbyrelativelyeasycomps(recall,theBloombergJPMADSKIMPresidentXivisitedMacauinDecember2019).MufanShi•WhatdoesDecemberGGRtellus?TheprintsuggestsmassGGRrecovered(852)2800-8502to110%+ofpre-COVIDlevelsonJPMe(vs.96%in3Q,or100%+inOct/mufan.shi@jpmorgan.comNov),thankstoagradualreturnofbasemassplayers(90%+vs.premiummassat120%+onJPMe),aswellaseasycomps.ThepaceofVIPrecoveryremainedSelinaLisluggish,asexpected,ataroundlow-20%sonJPMe,similartorecentmonths/quarters.(852)2800-8530selina.c.li@jpmorgan.com•Recapping4Q:arecord-highmassinthehistoryofMacau.HeadlineGGRJ.P.MorganSecurities(AsiaPacific)Limited/J.P.MorganBroking(HongKong)Limitedgrew+11%q/q,doublingthehistoricalseasonalityof+5%growth,tohitMOP588m/daythatrepresents75%ofpre-COVIDlevels(vs.69%recoveryin3Q).Importantl...
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